The Deen's ListTM
A service of Deen Capital Management, Inc. (www.deencapital.com)
Our goal: Outperform the S&P 500 in both up markets and down.
Our result: +31.1% for the 60 months ending November 4, 2016 (vs. +85.0% for the S&P)
For complete performance data, click here
Vol.14 #244 Saturday, November 5, 2016 12:49PM EDT

Please read carefully our disclaimers at the end of this newsletter.

Weekly Status Report: Contents

Typical Client Performance
Market Commentary
Typical Client Portfolio
Stocks Sold Over Past 13 Weeks
Subscription Information
Privacy Policy
Disclaimers
Contact Us

Typical Client Performance

Deen Capital S&P 500
Year-to-date as of November 4, 2016 +4.2% * +4.4%
12 months (Nov 4, 2015 to Nov 4, 2016) -2.6% * +1.8%
24 months (Nov 4, 2014 to Nov 4, 2016) +1.7% * +8.5%
36 months (Nov 4, 2013 to Nov 4, 2016) +2.0% * +25.9%
48 months (Nov 4, 2012 to Nov 4, 2016) +27.9% * +60.6%
60 months (Nov 4, 2011 to Nov 4, 2016) +31.1% * +85.0%

* An average of managed accounts, net after all commissions and fees.

Click here for more performance data.

Click here for information on managed accounts.

Market Commentary

Market Stance: BEARISH (since October 15, 2016)

It was a down week for stocks, but we outperformed -- by losing less. Significantly less. Deen Capital accounts gave back -0.4% versus -1.3% for the S&P (total return VFINX). My goal is to gain more on the way up, and lose less on the way down.

Stocks have been down for nine trading sessions in a row now. No doubt jitters related to the election.

The market hates uncertainty, and there is a lot of that right now. I think a post-election relief rally is fairly likely next week. With that in mind, I loaded up on SPY (a proxy for the S&P 500) on Friday.

Our accounts are now roughly "market neutral". By this I mean our portfolio is roughly on par with the S&P in terms of risk and volatility. From a relative performance point of view, which is my point of view, this is neutral.

My Three Primary Technical Indicators:

                                       Prior week             Now
                                       ----------           -------
NASDAQ Timing Model (Ver.11aa):          BULLISH            BULLISH (1)

Performance of Recent Stock Picks:  -3.3 BEARISH       -5.0 BEARISH (2)

Market Internals:                    30% BEARISH        22% BEARISH (3)

-----------------------------------------------------------------------
Market's Overall Technical Rating:       BEARISH            BEARISH

Stocks:Cash ratio (average):              27:73              91:9

(1) A proprietary computer model based on technical analysis of the NASDAQ Composite.

(2) This number (from -10 to +10) is based on the performance of ALL my recent stock picks (I actually buy only some of these). A positive number means my recent stock picks are generally rising; a negative number means they are generally falling. Even so, I consider a reading below +3.1 to be bearish. I require a reading of +5.6 or better to call this indicator bullish.

(3) This is the percentage of stocks ($8 and up) which are trading above their 50-day moving average. The rating of this percentage (bullish, bearish or neutral) is based on which way it's been moving recently -- up, down or sideways.

-KD, Saturday, November 5, 2016

Typical Client Portfolio

Company Name Stock
Symbol
Buy
Date
NetBuy
Price*
Current
Price
Weeks
Held
% of
Portfolio
Gain
(Loss)
SPDR S&P 500 ETF SPY 11/04/16 $209.68 $208.55 0.0 85.0% -0.5%
Ultra Clean Holdings Inc. UCTT 11/01/16 $8.58 $8.66 0.4 6.0% +0.9%
Cash 9.0%  
Total 100%  

* Buy prices shown are net after commissions.

Stocks Sold Over Past 13 Weeks

Company Name Stock
Symbol
Buy
Date
NetBuy
Price*
Sell
Date
NetSell
Price*
Weeks
Held
Gain
(Loss)*
Logitech International ADR LOGI 10/26/16 $25.34 11/04/16 $24.02 1.3 -5.2%
Navigant Consulting Inc. NCI 10/25/16 $23.38 11/02/16 $22.92 1.1 -2.0%
PCM, Inc. PCMI 10/27/16 $23.05 10/31/16 $21.10 0.6 -8.4%
UnitedHealth Group Inc. UNH 10/18/16 $143.72 10/28/16 $139.68 1.4 -2.8%
Paypal Holdings Inc. PYPL 10/21/16 $43.78 10/28/16 $41.16 1.0 -6.0%
iShares Core S&P 500 IVV 10/18/16 $215.17 10/26/16 $214.42 1.1 -0.3%
iShares Core S&P 500 IVV 10/14/16 $215.90 10/26/16 $214.42 1.7 -0.7%
SPDR S&P 500 ETF SPY 10/12/16 $213.42 10/25/16 $214.15 1.9 +0.3%
SPDR S&P 500 ETF SPY 10/12/16 $213.42 10/21/16 $213.33 1.3 -0.0%
SPDR S&P 500 ETF SPY 10/12/16 $213.42 10/18/16 $213.66 0.9 +0.1%
SPDR S&P 500 ETF SPY 10/12/16 $213.42 10/17/16 $212.40 0.7 -0.5%
Carbonite Inc. CARB 10/11/16 $15.76 10/17/16 $15.77 0.9 +0.0%
Nutraceutical International NUTR 10/10/16 $30.87 10/14/16 $29.94 0.6 -3.0%
iShares Core S&P 500 IVV 10/10/16 $217.50 10/13/16 $212.60 0.4 -2.3%
iShares Core S&P 500 IVV 09/21/16 $217.76 10/13/16 $212.60 3.1 -2.4%
Control4 Corp. CTRL 09/23/16 $11.94 10/13/16 $11.64 2.9 -2.5%
TTM Technologies, Inc. TTMI 09/15/16 $10.68 10/11/16 $11.66 3.7 +9.1%
SPDR S&P 500 ETF SPY 09/15/16 $215.48 10/11/16 $213.47 3.7 -0.9%
PCM, Inc. PCMI 09/19/16 $18.34 10/11/16 $22.56 3.1 +23.0%
Hudson Technologies HDSN 09/22/16 $6.38 10/11/16 $6.21 2.7 -2.6%
BioTelemetry Inc. BEAT 10/05/16 $20.76 10/11/16 $19.68 0.9 -5.2%
Xinyuan Real Estate Co. Ltd. XIN 09/28/16 $6.50 10/10/16 $6.25 1.7 -3.8%
SPDR S&P 500 ETF SPY 09/15/16 $215.48 10/10/16 $216.55 3.6 +0.5%
SPDR S&P 500 ETF SPY 09/15/16 $215.48 10/05/16 $215.97 2.9 +0.2%
SPDR S&P 500 ETF SPY 09/15/16 $215.48 09/28/16 $216.39 1.9 +0.4%
SPDR S&P 500 ETF SPY 09/15/16 $215.48 09/23/16 $216.33 1.1 +0.4%
SPDR S&P 500 ETF SPY 09/15/16 $215.48 09/22/16 $216.91 1.0 +0.7%
SPDR S&P 500 ETF SPY 09/12/16 $216.49 09/14/16 $213.13 0.3 -1.6%
PCM, Inc. PCMI 09/07/16 $17.75 09/13/16 $16.82 0.9 -5.2%
Calavo Growers Inc. CVGW 09/08/16 $69.48 09/13/16 $67.17 0.7 -3.3%
Xinyuan Real Estate Co. Ltd. XIN 09/02/16 $6.15 09/09/16 $6.55 1.0 +6.5%
TTM Technologies, Inc. TTMI 08/04/16 $10.17 09/09/16 $10.49 5.1 +3.2%
Tarena International, Inc. TEDU 09/06/16 $13.79 09/09/16 $13.95 0.4 +1.2%
SPDR S&P 500 ETF SPY 08/31/16 $217.41 09/09/16 $214.18 1.3 -1.5%
iShares Core S&P 500 IVV 09/02/16 $219.63 09/09/16 $215.58 1.0 -1.8%
iShares Core S&P 500 IVV 09/01/16 $218.69 09/09/16 $215.58 1.1 -1.4%
SPDR S&P 500 ETF SPY 08/31/16 $217.41 09/08/16 $218.60 1.1 +0.5%
SPDR S&P 500 ETF SPY 08/31/16 $217.41 09/07/16 $218.88 1.0 +0.7%
SPDR S&P 500 ETF SPY 08/31/16 $217.41 09/06/16 $218.63 0.9 +0.6%
PCM, Inc. PCMI 08/29/16 $18.02 09/02/16 $18.34 0.6 +1.7%
Hudson Technologies HDSN 08/22/16 $5.53 09/02/16 $6.06 1.6 +9.6%
Nautilus Inc. NLS 08/02/16 $20.97 09/01/16 $22.69 4.3 +8.2%
DTS Inc. DTSI 08/09/16 $32.46 09/01/16 $33.12 3.3 +2.0%
CryoLife, Inc. CRY 07/26/16 $13.70 09/01/16 $15.83 5.3 +15.5%
Xinyuan Real Estate Co. Ltd. XIN 08/15/16 $5.94 08/31/16 $6.04 2.3 +1.7%
Tarena International, Inc. TEDU 08/18/16 $13.07 08/31/16 $13.11 1.9 +0.3%
Silicom Ltd. SILC 07/25/16 $35.18 08/31/16 $39.07 5.3 +11.1%
Control4 Corp. CTRL 08/11/16 $11.01 08/31/16 $11.02 2.9 +0.0%
Carbonite Inc. CARB 08/02/16 $13.04 08/31/16 $13.77 4.1 +5.6%
Amphastar Pharmaceuticals AMPH 08/09/16 $17.94 08/30/16 $19.39 3.0 +8.1%
PCM, Inc. PCMI 08/18/16 $18.04 08/25/16 $17.85 1.0 -1.0%
Yirendai Ltd. YRD 08/10/16 $28.96 08/22/16 $35.07 1.7 +21.1%
MarineMax Inc. HZO 08/05/16 $20.36 08/18/16 $19.69 1.9 -3.3%
iShares Core S&P 500 IVV 08/03/16 $217.37 08/15/16 $220.50 1.7 +1.4%
iShares Core S&P 500 IVV 07/29/16 $218.49 08/15/16 $220.50 2.4 +0.9%
GrubHub Inc. GRUB 07/28/16 $39.12 08/15/16 $38.21 2.6 -2.3%
iShares Core S&P 500 IVV 07/29/16 $218.49 08/11/16 $219.91 1.9 +0.7%
iShares Core S&P 500 IVV 07/29/16 $218.49 08/10/16 $219.18 1.7 +0.3%
SPDR S&P 500 ETF SPY 07/06/16 $208.67 08/09/16 $218.04 4.9 +4.5%
SPDR S&P 500 ETF SPY 07/06/16 $208.67 08/08/16 $217.73 4.7 +4.3%

* Buy and sell prices shown are net after commissions. This means that the gains/losses shown are also net after transaction expenses.

Subscription Information

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Disclaimers

All stocks discussed in The Deen's ListTM involve a high degree of risk. It should not be assumed that any stock discussed in The Deen's ListTM or purchased by Deen Capital Management, Inc. will be profitable.

Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.

The information contained herein has been compiled from sources deemed to be reliable; however, we are not responsible for its accuracy or completeness.

Contact Us

The Deen's List
PO Box 30925
Santa Barbara, CA 93130
(800) 353-4990
deenslist@deencapital.com

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