The Deen's ListTM
A service of Deen Capital Management, Inc. (www.deencapital.com)
Our goal: Outperform the S&P 500 in both up markets and down.
Our result: +65.1% for the 60 months ending February 16, 2018 (vs. +98.2% for the S&P)
For complete performance data, click here
Vol.16 #29 Saturday, February 17, 2018 1:26PM EST

Please read carefully our disclaimers at the end of this newsletter.

Weekly Status Report: Contents

Typical Client Performance
Market Commentary
Typical Client Portfolio
Stocks Sold Over Past 13 Weeks
Subscription Information
Privacy Policy
Disclaimers
Contact Us

Typical Client Performance

Deen Capital S&P 500
Year-to-date as of February 16, 2018 +3.0% * +2.4%
12 months (Feb 16, 2017 to Feb 16, 2018) +16.8% * +18.6%
24 months (Feb 16, 2016 to Feb 16, 2018) +51.7% * +49.8%
36 months (Feb 16, 2015 to Feb 16, 2018) +32.6% * +38.2%
48 months (Feb 16, 2014 to Feb 16, 2018) +34.1% * +60.6%
60 months (Feb 16, 2013 to Feb 16, 2018) +65.1% * +98.2%

* An average of managed accounts, net after all commissions and fees.

Click here for more performance data.

Click here for information on managed accounts.

Market Commentary

Market Stance: BEARISH (since February 2, 2018)

Last week was a strong up week. Stocks recovered some, not all, of recent big losses. Deen Capital accounts gained +2.8% on average, versus +4.4% for the S&P (total return VFINX).

Despite this 1-week lag, we are nevertheless outperforming year-to-date (+3.0% vs. +2.4%).

My indicators improved a bit last week, but they remain overall bearish. I am maintaining an officially bearish stance, even though we are now, and have been since early Monday morning, 100% in stocks.

I still see high risk of another leg down in the near future, but that risk, in my opinion, is a bit less now than it was a week ago.

There is a discrepancy now between my nominally bearish stance, and our portfolio, which is ever so slightly bullish (ever so slightly more risky than the S&P). I expect to resolve this discrepancy, one way or the other, soon.

My Three Primary Technical Indicators:

                                       Prior week             Now
                                       ----------           -------
NASDAQ Timing Model (Ver.11aa):          BULLISH            BULLISH (1)

Performance of Recent Stock Picks: -10.0 BEARISH       -2.7 BEARISH (2)

Market Internals:                    18% BEARISH        38% BEARISH (3)

-----------------------------------------------------------------------
Market's Overall Technical Rating:       BEARISH            BEARISH

Stocks:Cash ratio (average):              0:100              100:0

(1) A proprietary computer model based on technical analysis of the NASDAQ Composite.

(2) This number (from -10 to +10) is based on the performance of ALL my recent stock picks (I actually buy only some of these). A positive number means my recent stock picks are generally rising; a negative number means they are generally falling. Even so, I consider a reading below +3.1 to be bearish. I require a reading of +5.6 or better to call this indicator bullish.

(3) This is the percentage of stocks ($8 and up) which are trading above their 50-day moving average. The rating of this percentage (bullish, bearish or neutral) is based on which way it's been moving recently -- up, down or sideways.

-KD, Saturday, February 17, 2018

Typical Client Portfolio

Company Name Stock
Symbol
Buy
Date
NetBuy
Price*
Current
Price
Weeks
Held
% of
Portfolio
Gain
(Loss)
SolarEdge Technologies, Inc. SEDG 02/15/18 $44.80 $46.00 0.1 5.1% +2.7%
SPDR S&P 500 ETF SPY 02/14/18 $267.09 $273.11 0.3 94.8% +2.3%
Cash 0.0%  
Total 100%  

* Buy prices shown are net after commissions.

Stocks Sold Over Past 13 Weeks

Company Name Stock
Symbol
Buy
Date
NetBuy
Price*
Sell
Date
NetSell
Price*
Weeks
Held
Gain
(Loss)*
SPDR S&P 500 ETF SPY 02/14/18 $267.09 02/15/18 $271.49 0.1 +1.6%
SPDR S&P 500 ETF SPY 02/12/18 $264.35 02/12/18 $265.41 0.0 +0.4%
SPDR S&P 500 ETF SPY 02/06/18 $268.51 02/08/18 $266.50 0.3 -0.8%
Live Oak Bancshares, Inc. LOB 01/26/18 $27.16 02/06/18 $25.55 1.6 -5.9%
SPDR S&P 500 ETF SPY 01/26/18 $284.79 02/02/18 $278.89 1.0 -2.1%
SPDR S&P 500 ETF SPY 01/10/18 $273.76 02/02/18 $278.89 3.3 +1.9%
SPDR S&P 500 ETF SPY 12/08/17 $265.44 02/02/18 $278.89 8.0 +5.1%
Forward Air Corp. FWRD 01/11/18 $60.50 02/02/18 $60.49 3.1 -0.0%
Extreme Networks Inc. EXTR 01/30/18 $15.18 02/01/18 $14.68 0.3 -3.3%
iShares Core S&P 500 IVV 12/29/17 $269.64 01/30/18 $284.23 4.6 +5.4%
Electro Scientific Inds ESIO 01/18/18 $26.21 01/26/18 $24.05 1.1 -8.2%
Ultra Clean Holdings Inc. UCTT 01/18/18 $26.78 01/25/18 $23.76 1.0 -11.2%
Ichor Holdings, Ltd. ICHR 01/18/18 $32.38 01/25/18 $32.70 1.0 +1.0%
iShares Core S&P 500 IVV 12/29/17 $269.64 01/18/18 $281.38 2.9 +4.4%
iShares Core S&P 500 IVV 12/28/17 $269.58 01/18/18 $281.38 3.0 +4.4%
iShares Core S&P 500 IVV 12/28/17 $269.58 01/11/18 $277.70 2.0 +3.0%
iShares Core S&P 500 IVV 12/27/17 $269.29 01/11/18 $277.70 2.1 +3.1%
YY Inc. ADS YY 01/02/18 $121.40 01/10/18 $125.02 1.1 +3.0%
Ultra Clean Holdings Inc. UCTT 01/05/18 $23.52 01/10/18 $22.07 0.7 -6.2%
Mesabi Trust MSB 01/02/18 $26.90 01/10/18 $27.62 1.1 +2.7%
iShares Core S&P 500 IVV 12/27/17 $269.29 01/05/18 $274.36 1.3 +1.9%
SPDR S&P 500 ETF SPY 12/08/17 $265.44 01/02/18 $268.30 3.6 +1.1%
SORL Auto Parts, Inc. SORL 12/11/17 $7.47 12/29/17 $6.70 2.6 -10.4%
KMG Chemicals Inc. KMG 12/15/17 $64.71 12/29/17 $66.48 2.0 +2.7%
Data I/O Corp. DAIO 12/18/17 $13.80 12/29/17 $11.87 1.6 -14.0%
AeroVironment Inc. AVAV 12/15/17 $55.91 12/29/17 $56.24 2.0 +0.6%
YY Inc. ADS YY 12/07/17 $107.76 12/28/17 $113.26 3.0 +5.1%
Cort Therapeutics Inc. CORT 12/21/17 $17.78 12/27/17 $17.64 0.9 -0.8%
SPDR S&P 500 ETF SPY 12/08/17 $265.44 12/21/17 $267.80 1.9 +0.9%
SPDR S&P 500 ETF SPY 12/08/17 $265.44 12/18/17 $268.16 1.4 +1.0%
SPDR S&P 500 ETF SPY 12/08/17 $265.44 12/15/17 $266.36 1.0 +0.3%
AeroVironment Inc. AVAV 12/08/17 $55.74 12/11/17 $53.77 0.4 -3.5%
SPDR S&P 500 ETF SPY 11/16/17 $258.49 12/05/17 $263.52 2.7 +1.9%
iShares Core S&P 500 IVV 12/01/17 $266.08 12/05/17 $265.33 0.6 -0.3%
iShares Core S&P 500 IVV 11/27/17 $262.20 12/05/17 $265.33 1.1 +1.2%
A N I Pharmaceuticals ANIP 11/27/17 $70.49 12/05/17 $68.94 1.1 -2.2%
SORL Auto Parts, Inc. SORL 11/24/17 $6.56 12/01/17 $7.03 1.0 +7.1%
YY Inc. ADS YY 11/16/17 $110.22 11/27/17 $117.09 1.6 +6.2%
58.com Inc. ADS WUBA 11/13/17 $73.67 11/27/17 $75.52 2.0 +2.5%
SPDR S&P 500 ETF SPY 11/16/17 $258.49 11/27/17 $260.29 1.6 +0.7%
Kulicke and Soffa Industries KLIC 11/21/17 $27.59 11/27/17 $26.36 0.9 -4.5%
SPDR S&P 500 ETF SPY 11/16/17 $258.49 11/24/17 $260.36 1.1 +0.7%
SPDR S&P 500 ETF SPY 11/16/17 $258.49 11/21/17 $259.77 0.7 +0.5%

* Buy and sell prices shown are net after commissions. This means that the gains/losses shown are also net after transaction expenses.

Subscription Information

Welcome to The Deen's ListTM, an e-mail stock newsletter from Deen Capital Management, Inc.

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Privacy Policy

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Disclaimers

All stocks discussed in The Deen's ListTM involve a high degree of risk. It should not be assumed that any stock discussed in The Deen's ListTM or purchased by Deen Capital Management, Inc. will be profitable.

Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.

The information contained herein has been compiled from sources deemed to be reliable; however, we are not responsible for its accuracy or completeness.

Contact Us

The Deen's List
PO Box 30925
Santa Barbara, CA 93130
(800) 353-4990
deenslist@deencapital.com

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