The Deen's ListTM
A service of Deen Capital Management, Inc. (www.deencapital.com)
Our goal: Outperform the S&P 500 in both up markets and down.
Our result: +60.8% for the 60 months ending April 6, 2018 (vs. +84.7% for the S&P)
For complete performance data, click here
Vol.16 #75 Saturday, April 7, 2018 10:49AM EDT

Please read carefully our disclaimers at the end of this newsletter.

Weekly Status Report: Contents

Typical Client Performance
Market Commentary
Typical Client Portfolio
Stocks Sold Over Past 13 Weeks
Subscription Information
Privacy Policy
Disclaimers
Contact Us

Typical Client Performance

Deen Capital S&P 500
Year-to-date as of April 6, 2018 -1.8% * -2.1%
12 months (Apr 6, 2017 to Apr 6, 2018) +8.7% * +12.5%
24 months (Apr 6, 2016 to Apr 6, 2018) +42.2% * +30.9%
36 months (Apr 6, 2015 to Apr 6, 2018) +25.3% * +32.7%
48 months (Apr 6, 2014 to Apr 6, 2018) +33.4% * +50.9%
60 months (Apr 6, 2013 to Apr 6, 2018) +60.8% * +84.7%

* An average of managed accounts, net after all commissions and fees.

Click here for more performance data.

Click here for information on managed accounts.

Market Commentary

Market Stance: BEARISH (since April 6, 2018)

Stocks took a hit last week, and Deen Capital accounts severely underperformed. The S&P dropped -1.4%, and our accounts lost -4.9%.

This past week was, I regret to say, an example of market timing gone wrong. We were in cash part of the week, and in the S&P for part of the week. In both cases, it was mostly the wrong part of the week. Mea culpa.

Even so, we are still outperforming the S&P year-to-date, thanks in part to counter-examples of helpful market timing earlier in the year.

My indicators started the week overall bearish, were briefly overall bullish, and now are again overall bearish.

My outlook now is bearish. I think this week's selling is likely to spill over into early next week. It could even snowball into a full-blown panic.

We are currently 94% in cash.

My Three Primary Technical Indicators:

                                       Prior week             Now
                                       ----------           -------
NASDAQ Timing Model (Ver.11aa):          BULLISH            BULLISH (1)

Performance of Recent Stock Picks:  +2.9 BEARISH       +4.5 NEUTRAL (2)

Market Internals:                    35% BEARISH        34% BEARISH (3)

-----------------------------------------------------------------------
Market's Overall Technical Rating:       BEARISH            BEARISH

Stocks:Cash ratio (average):              99:1               6:94

(1) A proprietary computer model based on technical analysis of the NASDAQ Composite.

(2) This number (from -10 to +10) is based on the performance of ALL my recent stock picks (I actually buy only some of these). A positive number means my recent stock picks are generally rising; a negative number means they are generally falling. Even so, I consider a reading below +3.1 to be bearish. I require a reading of +5.6 or better to call this indicator bullish.

(3) This is the percentage of stocks ($8 and up) which are trading above their 50-day moving average. The rating of this percentage (bullish, bearish or neutral) is based on which way it's been moving recently -- up, down or sideways.

-KD, Saturday, April 7, 2018

Typical Client Portfolio

Company Name Stock
Symbol
Buy
Date
NetBuy
Price*
Current
Price
Weeks
Held
% of
Portfolio
Gain
(Loss)
Stoneridge Inc. SRI 04/06/18 $28.97 $28.81 0.0 6.2% -0.6%
Cash 93.8%  
Total 100%  

* Buy prices shown are net after commissions.

Stocks Sold Over Past 13 Weeks

Company Name Stock
Symbol
Buy
Date
NetBuy
Price*
Sell
Date
NetSell
Price*
Weeks
Held
Gain
(Loss)*
SPDR S&P 500 ETF SPY 04/05/18 $265.21 04/06/18 $258.84 0.1 -2.4%
SPDR S&P 500 ETF SPY 04/03/18 $257.83 04/04/18 $257.00 0.1 -0.3%
SPDR S&P 500 ETF SPY 03/28/18 $260.44 04/02/18 $258.50 0.7 -0.7%
SPDR S&P 500 ETF SPY 03/26/18 $262.51 03/27/18 $262.87 0.1 +0.1%
Stoneridge Inc. SRI 03/21/18 $28.69 03/23/18 $27.12 0.3 -5.4%
Medifast Inc. MED 03/07/18 $91.27 03/23/18 $88.64 2.3 -2.9%
iShares Core S&P 500 IVV 03/21/18 $274.71 03/23/18 $260.72 0.3 -5.1%
SPDR S&P 500 ETF SPY 03/19/18 $269.92 03/22/18 $263.95 0.4 -2.2%
Upland Software Inc. UPLD 03/05/18 $27.30 03/21/18 $29.34 2.3 +7.5%
SPDR S&P 500 ETF SPY 03/19/18 $269.92 03/21/18 $270.61 0.3 +0.3%
Xcerra Corp. XCRA 03/05/18 $9.95 03/19/18 $11.29 2.0 +13.5%
SPDR S&P 500 ETF SPY 03/02/18 $266.68 03/19/18 $271.07 2.4 +1.6%
NV5 Global, Inc. NVEE 03/13/18 $55.05 03/19/18 $55.88 0.9 +1.5%
Baozun Inc. BZUN 03/14/18 $46.48 03/19/18 $47.33 0.7 +1.8%
SPDR S&P 500 ETF SPY 03/02/18 $266.68 03/14/18 $277.15 1.7 +3.9%
SPDR S&P 500 ETF SPY 03/02/18 $266.68 03/13/18 $279.22 1.6 +4.7%
iShares Core S&P 500 IVV 02/27/18 $279.06 03/07/18 $273.82 1.1 -1.9%
iShares Core S&P 500 IVV 02/27/18 $279.06 03/05/18 $272.25 0.9 -2.4%
SPDR S&P 500 ETF SPY 02/21/18 $273.50 03/01/18 $271.01 1.1 -0.9%
Vishay Precision Group, Inc. VPG 02/22/18 $29.51 02/27/18 $31.10 0.7 +5.4%
SolarEdge Technologies, Inc. SEDG 02/15/18 $44.80 02/27/18 $50.45 1.7 +12.6%
Green Dot Corp. GDOT 02/23/18 $65.97 02/27/18 $65.59 0.6 -0.6%
SPDR S&P 500 ETF SPY 02/21/18 $273.50 02/23/18 $271.92 0.3 -0.6%
SPDR S&P 500 ETF SPY 02/21/18 $273.50 02/22/18 $272.44 0.1 -0.4%
SPDR S&P 500 ETF SPY 02/14/18 $267.09 02/20/18 $271.16 0.9 +1.5%
SPDR S&P 500 ETF SPY 02/14/18 $267.09 02/15/18 $271.52 0.1 +1.7%
SPDR S&P 500 ETF SPY 02/12/18 $264.35 02/12/18 $265.41 0.0 +0.4%
SPDR S&P 500 ETF SPY 02/06/18 $268.51 02/08/18 $266.50 0.3 -0.7%
Live Oak Bancshares, Inc. LOB 01/26/18 $27.16 02/06/18 $25.55 1.6 -5.9%
SPDR S&P 500 ETF SPY 01/26/18 $284.78 02/02/18 $278.89 1.0 -2.1%
SPDR S&P 500 ETF SPY 01/10/18 $273.76 02/02/18 $278.89 3.3 +1.9%
SPDR S&P 500 ETF SPY 12/08/17 $265.44 02/02/18 $278.89 8.0 +5.1%
Forward Air Corp. FWRD 01/11/18 $60.50 02/02/18 $60.49 3.1 -0.0%
Extreme Networks Inc. EXTR 01/30/18 $15.18 02/01/18 $14.68 0.3 -3.3%
iShares Core S&P 500 IVV 12/29/17 $269.63 01/30/18 $284.25 4.6 +5.4%
Electro Scientific Inds ESIO 01/18/18 $26.21 01/26/18 $24.05 1.1 -8.2%
Ultra Clean Holdings Inc. UCTT 01/18/18 $26.77 01/25/18 $23.77 1.0 -11.2%
Ichor Holdings, Ltd. ICHR 01/18/18 $32.38 01/25/18 $32.70 1.0 +1.0%
iShares Core S&P 500 IVV 12/29/17 $269.63 01/18/18 $281.39 2.9 +4.4%
iShares Core S&P 500 IVV 12/28/17 $269.57 01/18/18 $281.39 3.0 +4.4%
iShares Core S&P 500 IVV 12/28/17 $269.57 01/11/18 $277.71 2.0 +3.0%
iShares Core S&P 500 IVV 12/27/17 $269.27 01/11/18 $277.71 2.1 +3.1%
YY Inc. ADS YY 01/02/18 $121.40 01/10/18 $125.03 1.1 +3.0%
Ultra Clean Holdings Inc. UCTT 01/05/18 $23.52 01/10/18 $22.07 0.7 -6.2%
Mesabi Trust MSB 01/02/18 $26.90 01/10/18 $27.62 1.1 +2.7%

* Buy and sell prices shown are net after commissions. This means that the gains/losses shown are also net after transaction expenses.

Subscription Information

Welcome to The Deen's ListTM, an e-mail stock newsletter from Deen Capital Management, Inc.

My intention is to inform you as quickly as is practical regarding my stock market moves.

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Privacy Policy

Your personal information, including your e-mail address, will be held in strict confidence by Deen Capital Management, Inc. We will not share it with or sell it to others.

Disclaimers

All stocks discussed in The Deen's ListTM involve a high degree of risk. It should not be assumed that any stock discussed in The Deen's ListTM or purchased by Deen Capital Management, Inc. will be profitable.

Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.

The information contained herein has been compiled from sources deemed to be reliable; however, we are not responsible for its accuracy or completeness.

Contact Us

The Deen's List
PO Box 30925
Santa Barbara, CA 93130
(800) 353-4990
deenslist@deencapital.com

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